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Gold
eases on profit taking
Gold
futures on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange
slipped more than US$2.50 an ounce Tuesday November 30 2004, on
bullion bank selling and speculative liquidation sparked by upbeat
economic data and a brief short-covering rally in the US dollar
versus the euro. February contract (100 ounces each) settled US$2.60
lower at US$453.20 per ounce. March silver moved in line with gold
and settled 4.8 cents lower at US$7.777 after having rose to US$7.87.
At
the domestic front, gold further eased from profit booking and fall
in international prices. In Mumbai, standard gold (99.5) closed
at Rs6,665, down Rs20. Tracking decline in gold prices, silver too
ended marginally lower at Rs12,130.
Crude
eases as dollar recovers
Crude
oil futures on international markets were dragged down as weather
forecasts suggested winter to be less chill. Softening in US heating
oil futures turned crude oil futures down. January Nymex WTI slipped
63 cents to US$49.13 a barrel by the end of trading in New York.
IPE Brent crude futures for January delivery gave up 24 cents to
US$45.51 a barrel in London. Brent was pushed higher by the disruption
of more than 200,000 barrels a day of oil in the North Sea after
two platforms were evacuated following a gas leak. Nymex December
heating oil futures were 3.5 cents lower at US$1.4090 a gallon,
and Nymex December gasoline futures were 1.7 cents down at US$1.2860.
CRB
index hits 23-year high
The
Reuters CRB Index hit a fresh 23-year high on Tuesday November 30,
2004. The index that tracks 17 commodities garnered strength from
high crude oil prices, gold. The CRB index hit a high of 292.49
points, before easing to 291.31, a marginal increase on the previous
close. The benchmark US crude futures moved above US$50 a barrel.
However, a subsequent easing in oil prices and a fall in gold and
base metal prices later in the session softened the rise in the
commodity index. Meanwhile, coffee prices have jumped substantially.
Coffee futures in London reached a five-month high of £772 a ton
on increased speculative interest.
SAIL
to hike HR prices
Steel
Authority of India Ltd (SAIL), the largest domestic steel maker,
has decided to increase the prices of various hot-rolled steel products
with effect from Wednesday. The net hike in prices of various HR
categories of steel would be about Rs500 to Rs800 per ton.
RBC
launches interbank market making service in gold and silver
RBC
Capital Markets, the corporate and investment-banking arm of RBC
Financial Group, announced it will offer an interbank market-making
service in gold and silver for spot, forward and options from December
1, 2004.
India
gold production crosses 5750 kg
Gold
production in India has been 5,752kgs during April-October, 2004
against 4,941.369kgs during the same period last year. Out of this
Hutti Gold Mines Limited (HGML) has produced 2,213kgs and Hindalco
Industries Limited (HINDALCO) produced 3,539kgs. According to a
press release, the gold production in October, 2004 has been 1,136.67kgs
against a target of 1,287.955kgs. Out of this, HGML has produced
273.674kgs and HINDALCO 863kgs. HGML produces gold from the ore
and HINDALCO produces as a by-product while producing copper.
Mixed
trend in rubber prices
Mixed
trends in spot rubber prices observed on Tuesday November 30, 2004.
While ungraded rubber and ISNR 20 made losses, the other grades
remained steady with less trading interest. Rubber futures weakened
with December delivery quoting at Rs51.21 (51.78) a kg, January
was quoted at Rs52.35 (52.81), February at Rs53.29 (53.60) and March
at Rs54.35 (54.65) per kg for RSS 4. Spot rubber prices of RSS 4
Rs50.25 per kg (50.50), RSS 5 Rs48.75 (48.75), ungraded Rs46.50
(46.75), ISNR 20 Rs49.25 (49.50), latex 60% Rs37.50 (37.50).
Meanwhile
the Cochin Rubber Merchants Association (CRMA) has urged the Union
Government to allow unrestricted exports of natural rubber with
full cash incentives to keep the nations presence felt in the international
market.
No
excise duty on refining of edible oil: SC
Refining
of vegetable oil, which was edible oil even prior to refining, does
not amount to manufacture and, hence, does not attract excise duty
that can be levied on manufacture of refined oils, the Supreme Court
has held. Disposing of a civil appeal by Shyam Oilcake Ltd, a Rajasthan-based
company, against the judgment of CEGAT (Customs, Excise and Gold
(Control) Appellate Tribunal), the court said: Neither in the section
note nor in the chapter note nor in the tariff item do we find any
indication that the process indicated is to amount to manufacture.
Excise
duty on manufacture of refined oil, which was withdrawn in 1996,
was re-introduced in 2003. Refiners have since then been protesting
against the levy, but the Government has stood its ground.
Currently,
excise duty on manufacture of refined oil is Rs1,000 a ton and Rs1,250
on vanaspati.
Global
sugar price set to scale higher
World
raw sugar futures on the New York Board of Trade could hit 15-16
US cents a pound in 2005, almost double the current close for the
prompt March contract of 8.89 cents/lb. Nybot sugar appears to be
establishing a primary positive cycle with the 15-16 cents area
an interim target, well up for the prompt contract and up from a
recent low in May of around 7.00 cents/lb.
|
Commodity
|
Exchange
|
Expiry
|
LTP
|
PCP
|
%
change
|
Traded
Quantity
|
Open
Interest
|
|
Gold
|
MCX
|
03-Dec-04
|
6528.00
|
6639.00
|
-1.67
|
2813000
GRMS
|
670
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
04-Feb-05
|
6588.00
|
6619.00
|
-0.47
|
8305000
GRMS
|
2390
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
05-Apr-05
|
6581.00
|
6595.00
|
-0.21
|
20000
GRMS
|
73
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
03-Dec-04
|
6528.00
|
6635.00
|
-1.61
|
40500
GRMS
|
29.4
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
31-Jan-05
|
6589.00
|
6615.00
|
-0.39
|
44000
GRMS
|
55.4
GRMS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
19-Nov-04
|
6644.00
|
6642.00
|
0.03
|
66000
GRMS
|
755200
GRMS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Dec-04
|
6634.00
|
6630.00
|
0.06
|
31000
GRMS
|
262900
GRMS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Jan-05
|
6629.00
|
6631.00
|
-0.03
|
6500
GRMS
|
49900
GRMS
|
|
Silver
|
MCX
|
03-Dec-04
|
11610.00
|
11735.00
|
-1.07
|
3535
KGS
|
1.64
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
28-Feb-05
|
11620.00
|
11641.00
|
-0.18
|
6455
KGS
|
4.86
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
05-May-05
|
11541.00
|
11596.00
|
-0.47
|
25
KGS
|
0.06
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
19-Nov-04
|
11641.00
|
11659.00
|
-0.15
|
16280
KGS
|
102730
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Dec-04
|
11609.00
|
11623.00
|
-0.12
|
4860
KGS
|
40390
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Jan-05
|
11597.00
|
11606.00
|
-0.08
|
1230
KGS
|
7305
KGS
|
|
Soybean
|
MCX
|
15-Dec-04
|
411.40
|
408.00
|
0.83
|
11610000
KGS
|
7510
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
14-Jan-05
|
408.70
|
405.90
|
0.69
|
4520000
KGS
|
5370
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
15-Feb-05
|
407.10
|
405.50
|
0.39
|
390000
KGS
|
820
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
19-Nov-04
|
410.10
|
411.80
|
-0.41
|
6100000
KGS
|
16880000
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Dec-04
|
407.55
|
410.30
|
-0.67
|
3880000
KGS
|
10670000
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Jan-05
|
406.75
|
409.65
|
-0.71
|
1120000
KGS
|
3030000
KGS
|
|
Exchange
Rates
|
$/Rs
|
$/Euro
|
$/Pound
|
|
|
|
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As
on Nov 27, 2004
|
44.73000
|
0.75358
|
0.53
|
|
|
|
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Disclaimer:
We take due care in compilation of data, but under no circumstances
shall we be legally responsible for the outcome of any action taken
on the basis of information given in this newsletter. Investors
must make their own investment decisions based on their specific
investment objectives and financial position and using such independent
advisors as they believe necessary.Indiainfoline
takes no legal responsibility for accuracy or completeness of information
or advice given. This material is for personal use only."India
Infoline Ltd (IIL) and India Infoline Commodities Pvt. Ltd (IICPL)
do not have any positions in any of the commodities recommended
and which are currently displayed on the site www.indiainfoline.com
and www.5paisa.com.
IIL and IICPL do not do any deals on their own account (proprietary
trading) except for testing and demonstration purposes. IIL and
IICPL also has an internal compliance manual in place which restricts
the team who analyze and gives information on various commodities
and investment opportunities, to place orders on commodity futures
only through IICPL and only after the said recommendation has been
displayed on the above mentioned websites
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