|
Crude
eases on higher US stockpiles
Crude
oil future prices, on Comex division of New York Mercantile Exchange
(Nymex) recorded their single largest drop in a trading session
on Wednesday December 1, 2004.
IPE
Brent crude futures for January delivery lost US$3.20 to US$42.31
a barrel by the end of trading in London. January Nymex WTI lost
US$3.64 to US$45.49 a barrel. Petroleum products experienced sharp
declines with January Nymex gasoline futures down by 8.34 cents,
to US$1.2012 a gallon and January Nymex heating oil futures down
by 8.90 cents to US$1.3293 a gallon.
The
Energy Information Administration, part of the US Department of
Energy, report revealed larger than expected distillate stockpiles.
As per the report, diesel and heating oil, rose by 2.3m barrels
in the week to November 26; gasoline inventories gained 3m barrels;
and crude stockpiles were 900,000 barrels.
Gold
topped US$456 an ounce
The
continued decline in US dollar against euro pushed gold to higher
levels, this time the level not seen since 16-1/4 years on Comex
division on New York Mercantile Exchange. The Gold topped US$456
an ounce. On the London Bullion Exchange, the gold moved within
US$1 of its 16-year high of US$455 a troy ounce as the euro reached
a further record high against the dollar. Gold ended London trade
at US$453.40/US$454.15, compared with the late quote of US$450.50/US$451.25
in New York on Tuesday.
In
the domestic bullion markets, the yellow metal continued to slide
further on weak buying support. Gold standard Rs35 lower at Rs6,630
per 10 gm.
Silver
quotes above US$8 an ounce
Silver
is currently quoting at US$8.015 a troy ounce on the Comex division
of New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex). Silver on Tuesday December
1, 2004, went close to US$8 a troy ounce, a point it last moved
past on its way to touching a 17-year high of US$8.43 in April 2004.
Silver hit an intra-day high of US$7.95 a troy ounce before settling
at US$7.92/US$7.95 at the close of London trading.
Dollar
boost for base metals
Gold
was not the only beneficiary from the fall in the US dollar, base
metals such as copper, lead, zinc and nickel too moved higher. However,
aluminium prices continued to fall further. The three-month copper
price on the London Metal Exchange (LME) ended at US$3,114 a ton
on Tuesday December 1, 2004. Lead, zinc and nickel recorded marginal
gain in their prices. Aluminium prices, however, slipped by US$7
to close the day at US$1,832 a ton.
Spot
rubber ends steady
Lack
of purchasing activity from the covering groups and purchase agents,
tied down the spot rubber prices to their previous close level.
The physical rubber price of per kg RSS 4 was Rs50 (50.25); RSS
5 Rs48.75 (48.75); ungraded Rs46.50 (46.50); ISNR 20 Rs49.25 (49.25);
latex 60% Rs37.50 (37.50). Meanwhile, the NMCE futures continued
its downfall quoting the December delivery at Rs51.12 against Rs51.27
a kg with moderate volumes. The near month January delivery was
quoted at Rs51.85 (52.36), February delivery at Rs52.60 (53.33)
and March delivery at Rs53.65 (54.38) per kg for RSS 4. A strong
yen and reports on improving rubber supply in Thailand continued
to hammer the international markets. At TOCOM, the January futures
for RSS 3 closed at 123.5 yen against 123.2 yen.
Soybean
rust affects more states in US
The
Asian rust disease seems fast spreading across US with Tennessee,
ninth state, being tested positive. Soybean rust, the highly contagious
disease, has rapidly swept across the US South and is taking aim
at big Midwest farming states, according to officials. The airborne
fungus, which can slash soybean crop production by up to 80%, has
steadily spread since it was first discovered in Louisiana on November
10, 2004. The US Agriculture Department has confirmed soybean rust
in farm fields in Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi,
Missouri and South Carolina.
|
Commodity
|
Exchange
|
Expiry
|
LTP
|
PCP
|
%
change
|
Traded
Quantity
|
Open
Interest
|
|
Gold
|
MCX
|
03-Dec-04
|
6528.00
|
6639.00
|
-1.67
|
2813000
GRMS
|
670.00
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
04-Feb-05
|
6588.00
|
6619.00
|
-0.47
|
8305000
GRMS
|
2,390.00
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
05-Apr-05
|
6581.00
|
6595.00
|
-0.21
|
20000
GRMS
|
73.00
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
03-Dec-04
|
6528.00
|
6635.00
|
-1.61
|
40500
GRMS
|
29.40
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
31-Jan-05
|
6589.00
|
6615.00
|
-0.39
|
44000
GRMS
|
55.40
GRMS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
19-Nov-04
|
6622.00
|
6596.00
|
0.39
|
460400
GRMS
|
722100
GRMS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Dec-04
|
6601.00
|
6589.00
|
0.18
|
136800
GRMS
|
334300
GRMS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Jan-05
|
6601.00
|
6598.00
|
0.05
|
46000
GRMS
|
71600
GRMS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Silver
|
MCX
|
03-Dec-04
|
11610.00
|
11735.00
|
-1.07
|
3535
KGS
|
1.64
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
28-Feb-05
|
11620.00
|
11641.00
|
-0.18
|
6455
KGS
|
4.86
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
05-May-05
|
11541.00
|
11596.00
|
-0.47
|
25
KGS
|
0.06
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
19-Nov-04
|
11819.00
|
11653.00
|
1.42
|
215715
KGS
|
129715
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Dec-04
|
11770.00
|
11622.00
|
1.27
|
45565
KGS
|
51105
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Jan-05
|
11765.00
|
11611.00
|
1.33
|
9615
KGS
|
12885
KGS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Soybean
|
MCX
|
15-Dec-04
|
411.40
|
408.00
|
0.83
|
11610000
KGS
|
7,510.00
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
14-Jan-05
|
408.70
|
405.90
|
0.69
|
4520000
KGS
|
5,370.00
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
15-Feb-05
|
407.10
|
405.50
|
0.39
|
390000
KGS
|
820.00
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
19-Nov-04
|
407.80
|
411.00
|
-0.78
|
6480000
KGS
|
14230000
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Dec-04
|
405.80
|
408.70
|
-0.71
|
4010000
KGS
|
10420000
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Jan-05
|
406.40
|
406.15
|
0.06
|
570000
KGS
|
3330000
KGS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exchange
Rates
|
$/Rs
|
$/Euro
|
$/Pound
|
|
|
|
|
|
As
on Nov 29, 2004
|
44.53000
|
0.75222
|
0.52329
|
|
|
|
|
Disclaimer:
We take due care in compilation of data, but under no circumstances
shall we be legally responsible for the outcome of any action taken
on the basis of information given in this newsletter. Investors
must make their own investment decisions based on their specific
investment objectives and financial position and using such independent
advisors as they believe necessary.Indiainfoline
takes no legal responsibility for accuracy or completeness of information
or advice given. This material is for personal use only."India
Infoline Ltd (IIL) and India Infoline Commodities Pvt. Ltd (IICPL)
do not have any positions in any of the commodities recommended
and which are currently displayed on the site www.indiainfoline.com
and www.5paisa.com.
IIL and IICPL do not do any deals on their own account (proprietary
trading) except for testing and demonstration purposes. IIL and
IICPL also has an internal compliance manual in place which restricts
the team who analyze and gives information on various commodities
and investment opportunities, to place orders on commodity futures
only through IICPL and only after the said recommendation has been
displayed on the above mentioned websites
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