Daily news letter                                                                                                                            December 08, 2004

Gold sheds US$2.20 per ounce

Gold futures on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange lost more than US$2 an ounce Tuesday December 7, 2004 on speculative profit taking and bullion bank sales spurred by the steady tone of the US dollar and downdraft seen across the commodity markets through the day. The most-active February contract (100 oz each) settled US$2.20 lower at US$453.70 per ounce. Taking a lead from gold, silver too plunged by the end of trading session. After opening high around US$7.945 silver sank to US$7.86 on the light fund and bullion bank selling. On the London Bullion Exchange, the PM Gold Fix settled at US$451.80 down from previous close at US$453.05. Mar silver settled at US$7.885, down $0.078.

In the domestic bullion markets precious metals continued its downward journey. The standard gold ended Rs30 lower at Rs6,545 per 10 gm. Silver .999-finess lost Rs125 to end at Rs12,140.

Crude price ends marginally lower

Crude price ended marginally lower at US$42.63 a barrel on the Comex division of New York Mercantile Exchange. Lower demand from the US is guiding crude prices lower. In the last few trading sessions, crude has lost more than 23% from its record high. At the International Petroleum Exchange (IPE), the Brent has declined below US$40 marks. Brent crude for January fell 44 cents to US$39.21. The US energy department depicted higher inventory levels of distillates and other petroleum products.

Thai Govt nods duty-free soya imports

The Thai cabinet approved the duty-free import of an unlimited amount of soybean in 2005. According to the Thai official, the cabinet agreed to nil tariff on the condition that importers must buy domestic soybean at the fixed prices in order to protect farmers. The Government has fixed the domestic soyameal at a minimum of 10.0 baht (Rs11) per kg.

Groundnut oil slips further

Groundnut oil and RBD palmolein fell further on the local oilseed market on Tuesday December 7, 2004. Lack of buying support coupled with increased inflow pushed edible oil prices lower. Groundnut oil raw was down Rs2 at Rs482 per 10 kg. RBD palmolein was down a rupee at Rs365 per 10 kg.

Rubber eases on weak demand

Rubber prices in the domestic market eased further from fresh selling and weak demand. Major buyers retreated to the sideline expecting fresh drop in rubber prices. All the grades except latex and ungraded rubber quoted lower over their previous close. RSS4 declined to Rs50 per kg (Rs50.25), RSS5 Rs48 (Rs48.50), ungraded remained unchanged at Rs46.25, ISNR20 Rs48.50 (Rs49) and latex 60% Rs38.50 (Rs38.50).

US to respond WTO appeal on Monday

US government official will reach to Geneva, Switzerland, on Monday December 13, 2004 to respond WTO allegation on US cotton subsidies. The organization termed the subsidies extended by the US Government to its farmer as illegal. The hearing scheduled on Monday is a part of the appeal phase that was initiated on October 18 2004, when US filed a formal appeal responding to the WTO decision in favor of Brazil. The WTO ruled that cotton export subsidies given U.S. farmers provide a competitive edge over the world market. Sharply reacting to this the US has said that conclusions are based on erroneous findings.

Daily Statistics

Commodity

Exchange

Expiry

LTP

PCP

% change

Traded Quantity

Open Interest

Gold

MCX

04-Feb-05

6509.00

6521.00

-0.18

4175000 GRMS

3,554.00 GRMS

MCX

05-Apr-05

6520.00

6526.00

-0.09

13000 GRMS

80.00 GRMS

MCX

04-Jun-05

6522.00

6550.00

-0.43

1000 GRMS

7.00 GRMS

MCX

31-Jan-05

6516.00

6531.00

-0.23

26900 GRMS

97.90 GRMS

NCDEX

20-Dec-04

6528.00

6538.00

-0.15

248300 GRMS

751600 GRMS

NCDEX

20-Jan-05

6519.00

6535.00

-0.24

115200 GRMS

369700 GRMS

NCDEX

18-Feb-05

6531.00

6541.00

-0.15

26700 GRMS

106900 GRMS

Silver

MCX

28-Feb-05

11674.00

11750.00

-0.65

7720 KGS

5.95 KGS

MCX

05-May-05

11663.00

11733.00

-0.60

10 KGS

0.10 KGS

NCDEX

20-Dec-04

11722.00

11811.00

-0.75

132110 KGS

89855 KGS

NCDEX

20-Jan-05

11701.00

11774.00

-0.62

29655 KGS

44380 KGS

NCDEX

18-Feb-05

11695.00

11762.00

-0.57

5695 KGS

16000 KGS

Soybean

MCX

15-Dec-04

407.30

406.70

0.15

1720000 KGS

5,390.00 KGS

MCX

14-Jan-05

403.30

402.40

0.22

7120000 KGS

8,510.00 KGS

MCX

15-Feb-05

401.80

401.70

0.02

330000 KGS

1,290.00 KGS

MCX

15-Mar-05

402.00

404.00

-0.50

110000 KGS

60.00 KGS

NCDEX

20-Dec-04

406.40

406.40

0.00

2270000 KGS

12570000 KGS

NCDEX

20-Jan-05

403.65

402.85

0.20

5740000 KGS

12350000 KGS

NCDEX

18-Feb-05

402.20

401.45

0.19

760000 KGS

4930000 KGS

Exchange Rates

$/Rs

$/Euro

$/Pound

As on Dec 07, 2004

43.56000

0.74638

0.51592

Disclaimer: We take due care in compilation of data, but under no circumstances shall we be legally responsible for the outcome of any action taken on the basis of information given in this newsletter. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial position and using such independent advisors as they believe necessary.Indiainfoline takes no legal responsibility for accuracy or completeness of information or advice given. This material is for personal use only."India Infoline Ltd (IIL) and India Infoline Commodities Pvt. Ltd (IICPL) do not have any positions in any of the commodities recommended and which are currently displayed on the site www.indiainfoline.com and www.5paisa.com. IIL and IICPL do not do any deals on their own account (proprietary trading) except for testing and demonstration purposes. IIL and IICPL also has an internal compliance manual in place which restricts the team who analyze and gives information on various commodities and investment opportunities, to place orders on commodity futures only through IICPL and only after the said recommendation has been displayed on the above mentioned websites

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