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Gold,
silver plunges sharply
Gold
and silver prices recorded their sharpest fall in the recent past
after surging past 16-years high. Recovery in the dollar witnessed
traders running for covering profit in the international markets.
Gold for February delivery traded as low as US$435 an ounce on the
New York Mercantile Exchange before closing at US$438.70, down US$15,
or 3.3%-- a level not seen since November 11, 2004. Silver too ended
sharply lower. March silver dropped 74 cents, or 9.4%, to close
at US$7.145 an ounce, the lowest in about a month. In the domestic
bullion markets gold and silver prices declined on sustained selling
by stockiest amid weak international advice. Standard gold declined
by Rs50 at Rs6495. Silver ready was lower by another Rs190 at Rs11,650
per kilo.
Oil
rises on dollar recovery
Crude
oil price rose by the end of trading session as dollar gathered
strength. Also, the US Government released report on Wednesday December
8, 2004, suggesting less than expected increase in heating oil and
diesel inventories. Apparently, Brent futures for January delivery
moved up 42 cents at US$38.69 a barrel in London. January light
crude was up 48 cents at US$41.94 by the close in New York.
The
Energy Information Administration of US reported distillate stocks,
which include diesel and heating oil, rose by 1.4m barrels to 119.3m
barrels last week. Commercial crude inventories edged upwards by
600,000 barrels last week to 293.9m barrels, while gasoline supplies
rose by 2.4m barrels to 208.1m barrels. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia,
the most powerful member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries, is in favor of raising global oil stocks before OPEC
would have to cut production.
Base
metals remain weak
The
downslide in select base metal prices continued in international
as well as local wholesale non-ferrous metal market on stockiest
selling and lost further ground. Copper was quoted below US$2,900
per ton on LME after scaling above US$3,200 last week. Other metals
too turned weak due to lack of demand. Strengthening in dollar further
aggravated the situation at metal complex.
In
the domestic markets, Tin ingot remained weak for want of support
and lost another Rupee at Rs525 per kilo for want of support. Zinc
slab in thin trading quoted 50 paisa lower at Rs72 per kilo. Meanwhile,
nickel plate remained flat at Rs740-860 per kilo.
Rubber
recovers on frenzied buying
Pickup
in the buying steadied the domestic rubber prices that had turned
edgy in the recent times. On Wednesday, December 8 2004 rubber markets
across the globe began to lookup. Covering groups were seen more
active but keen not to enhance the quotations. Sellers were waiting
for a recovery from current levels and RSS 4 closed at Rs50.00 a
kg as on the previous day. The NMCE futures showed a positive trend.
The December delivery was quoted at Rs51.35 (51.26), January delivery
at Rs52.50(52.26), February delivery at Rs53.79 (53.37) and March
delivery at Rs54.54 (54.41) per kg for RSS 4.The volumes also improved
on fresh buying and short covering from traders.
Basmati
prices may rise further
Basmati
rice prices are poised to rise by Rs7-8 per kg quality-wise in the
next three months, mainly in anticipation of lower crop and steady
export demand. Prominent basmati varieties are Super, Pusa, Basmati-386
and 370. In the recent times the land under rice cultivation has
come down considerably as farmers are seen opting for cash crops.
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Daily
Statistics
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Commodity
|
Exchange
|
Expiry
|
LTP
|
PCP
|
%
change
|
Traded
Quantity
|
Open
Interest
|
|
Gold
|
MCX
|
04-Feb-05
|
6338.00
|
6509.00
|
-2.63
|
14904000
GRMS
|
3,322.00
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
05-Apr-05
|
6364.00
|
6520.00
|
-2.39
|
55000
GRMS
|
75.00
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
04-Jun-05
|
6435.00
|
6522.00
|
-1.33
|
4000
GRMS
|
11.00
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
31-Jan-05
|
6344.00
|
6516.00
|
-2.64
|
195300
GRMS
|
113.70
GRMS
|
|
|
MCX
|
05-Apr-05
|
6335.00
|
6547.00
|
-3.24
|
4600
GRMS
|
4.20
GRMS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Dec-04
|
6350.00
|
6528.00
|
-2.73
|
1223700
GRMS
|
690000
GRMS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Jan-05
|
6353.00
|
6519.00
|
-2.55
|
680200
GRMS
|
425900
GRMS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
18-Feb-05
|
6352.00
|
6531.00
|
-2.74
|
143800
GRMS
|
129800
GRMS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Silver
|
MCX
|
28-Feb-05
|
10902.00
|
11674.00
|
-6.61
|
18290
KGS
|
7.89
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
05-May-05
|
11209.00
|
11663.00
|
-3.89
|
180
KGS
|
0.10
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
05-Jul-05
|
11082.00
|
11502.00
|
-3.65
|
30
KGS
|
0.02
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Dec-04
|
10841.00
|
11722.00
|
-7.52
|
446315
KGS
|
90580
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Jan-05
|
10845.00
|
11701.00
|
-7.32
|
200215
KGS
|
62405
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
18-Feb-05
|
10847.00
|
11695.00
|
-7.25
|
59635
KGS
|
22980
KGS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Soybean
|
MCX
|
15-Dec-04
|
405.50
|
407.30
|
-0.44
|
2730000
KGS
|
4,810.00
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
14-Jan-05
|
402.20
|
403.30
|
-0.27
|
7380000
KGS
|
7,920.00
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
15-Feb-05
|
400.40
|
401.80
|
-0.35
|
510000
KGS
|
1,410.00
KGS
|
|
|
MCX
|
15-Mar-05
|
401.00
|
402.00
|
-0.25
|
20000
KGS
|
80.00
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Dec-04
|
405.30
|
406.40
|
-0.27
|
5240000
KGS
|
12430000
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
20-Jan-05
|
402.50
|
403.65
|
-0.28
|
6490000
KGS
|
11790000
KGS
|
|
|
NCDEX
|
18-Feb-05
|
400.95
|
402.20
|
-0.31
|
1110000
KGS
|
5100000
KGS
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Exchange
Rates
|
$/Rs
|
$/Euro
|
$/Pound
|
|
|
|
|
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As
on Dec 08, 2004
|
43.68000
|
0.74471
|
0.51398
|
|
|
|
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Disclaimer:
We take due care in compilation of data, but under no circumstances
shall we be legally responsible for the outcome of any action taken
on the basis of information given in this newsletter. Investors
must make their own investment decisions based on their specific
investment objectives and financial position and using such independent
advisors as they believe necessary.Indiainfoline
takes no legal responsibility for accuracy or completeness of information
or advice given. This material is for personal use only."India
Infoline Ltd (IIL) and India Infoline Commodities Pvt. Ltd (IICPL)
do not have any positions in any of the commodities recommended
and which are currently displayed on the site www.indiainfoline.com
and www.5paisa.com.
IIL and IICPL do not do any deals on their own account (proprietary
trading) except for testing and demonstration purposes. IIL and
IICPL also has an internal compliance manual in place which restricts
the team who analyze and gives information on various commodities
and investment opportunities, to place orders on commodity futures
only through IICPL and only after the said recommendation has been
displayed on the above mentioned websites
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