Daily news letter                                                                                                                            January 27, 2005

Gold spiral upward in the international market

Gold futures in the international market have gained some strength on Wednesday after fresh Dollar weakness. February gold at Comex rose $4.80 to $426.90. April gold settled at $429.10, up from $424.30. China reignited market talk of a Yuan revaluation, saying it would discuss the pegged currency regime at next week's London meeting of Group of Seven rich nations. Speculation about a revaluation has been rife during the past year, with European policymakers urging Asian countries whose currencies are controlled to let those units rise to share the burden of the dollar's three-year slide. The second concern in the bullion market is about the forthcoming Iraq presidential elections this weekend. And more so, U.S. President George W. Bush's State of the Union address and the G7 meeting will be some of the important events to watch out for.

Free sale quota for sugar extended to 18th Feb

As per the recent announcement by the Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution the validity period for sugar mills to dispose of their free sale quota (FSQ) allocated for January has been extended till February 18th. Union Minister, Mr Sharad Pawar has declared on January 6th that the mills are expected to dispose off their entire current month's free sale quota in the open market by end of January. In conjunction to that, the unsold quantity would have been automatically converted into levy quota for the public distribution system. After the decision, the mills were seen desperately selling their quota by the month end to avail the benefits and better realization of sugar, and this created a major havoc in the market and again the ministry had to intervene for this. Again, as the decision was taken on 18th January and it is also said that the mills do not have sufficient time to implement the same due to which the Directorate of Sugar in the Ministry declared that mills would be given time up to February 18 to exhaust their FSQ for January 2005.

Sliding Pepper prices

Pepper prices have been witnessing the downward movement in the spot market at Kochi despite the Government intervention for arresting prices. The spot prices are down by 100 rupees since last week and according to resources the prices for MG1 and un-garbled are hovering at Rs 6,900 and Rs 6,600 a quintal respectively as against Rs 7,000 and Rs 6,700 on January 22. Spot pepper was sold at Rs 5,400 - Rs 6,400 as against Rs 5,500 - Rs 6,500 a quintal last Saturday. A similar trend in futures market also is seen whereby February delivery was Rs 6,918 a quintal as against Rs 7,171 on January 22. March Rs 7,031(Rs 7,289), April Rs 7,291 (Rs 7,559), May Rs 7,222 (Rs 7,487) and June Rs 7,703 (Rs 7,991).

According to Mr Kishor Shamji, President, India Pepper and Spice Trade Association, under the Indo-Sri Lankan Free Trade Agreement Sri Lankan pepper would be available in the major Indian markets now at Rs 58-60 a kg as against the current terminal market spot price of Rs 66-69 a kg, news resources confirm. Procurement body of the state, Kerala State Cooperative Marketing Federation (Marketfed) has announced the export of entire pepper quantity to be procured. The market players and producers are expecting the release of Vietnam crop that is expected in March 2005.

Comm Daily 25th Jan

MCX

Open

High

Low

Close

%ge Change

Volume Traded

Open Interest

Gold Feb

6143

6143

6094

6098

-0.73

2981

5100

Gold April

6174

6181

6137

6140

-0.55

948

1141

Silver March

10346

10346

10185

10202

-1.39

50163.02

289320

Silver May

10389

10389

10241

10241

-1.42

404.38

6060

Ref Soy Oil Feb

371.5

371.5

366.3

367.7

-1.02

23630

12590

Ref Soy Oil Mar

363.4

363.8

359.7

361.4

-0.55

5220

7820

Kapas April

315.1

315.8

309

309.6

-1.75

2756

8328


NCDEX

Open

High

Low

Close

%ge Change

Volume Traded

Open Interest

Castor Feb

304.60

306.80

304.20

305.50

0.30

1450

6080

Castor March

301.00

301.40

297.20

299.10

-0.63

960

3180

Soya Bean Feb

1278.00

1278.00

1256.10

1262.30

-1.23

22400

85670

Soya Bean March

1279.45

1281.00

1256.00

1265.70

-1.07

21730

76310

Guar Gum Feb

3415.00

3435.00

3368.00

3425.00

0.29

2990

10150

Guar Gum March

3453.00

3499.00

3411.00

3479.00

0.75

6925

9165

Guar Seed Feb

1376.00

1386.00

1359.00

1381.00

0.36

54910

59460

Guar Seed March

1382.00

1393.00

1364.00

1387.00

0.36

352750

158470

Disclaimer: We take due care in compilation of data, but under no circumstances shall we be legally responsible for the outcome of any action taken on the basis of information given in this newsletter. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial position and using such independent advisors as they believe necessary.Indiainfoline takes no legal responsibility for accuracy or completeness of information or advice given. This material is for personal use only."India Infoline Ltd (IIL) and India Infoline Commodities Pvt. Ltd (IICPL) do not have any positions in any of the commodities recommended and which are currently displayed on the site www.indiainfoline.com and www.5paisa.com. IIL and IICPL do not do any deals on their own account (proprietary trading) except for testing and demonstration purposes. IIL and IICPL also has an internal compliance manual in place which restricts the team who analyze and gives information on various commodities and investment opportunities, to place orders on commodity futures only through IICPL and only after the said recommendation has been displayed on the above mentioned websites

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